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Statement by
Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr.
U.S. Navy (Ret.)
Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere
Administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to
the Executive Council of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission
of UNESCO
Paris, June 10, 2002
Chairman Su; Executive Secretary Bernal; Delegates; ladies and gentlemen,
it is a pleasure for me to be here today to address the 35th Session of
the Executive Council of the IOC.
All of us here today know that ocean issues inherently transcend national
boundaries. Consequently, we also know that we must collaborate in our
efforts-if we are to succeed in observing, understanding, assessing, and
ultimately forecasting oceanic conditions. As Administrator of NOAA, and
from my previous positions as President of the Consortium for Oceanographic
Research and Education, and in the Navy, I am keenly aware of the importance
of working collaboratively with partners from around the world to address
ocean issues. The Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission is an essential
partner in facilitating and coordinating those efforts.
In February, President Bush came to NOAA to announce the Clear Skies and
Global Climate Change Initiatives. He directed the Secretary of Commerce,
working with other U.S. agencies, to review current investments in climate
change research, to prepare a comprehensive plan for the future-including
the setting of priorities, and to improve coordination among the federal
agencies. The United States will also provide matching resources to build
climate observing systems in developing countries, and encourage other
developed nations to match our commitment.
The President's budget proposal for our next fiscal year includes $18
million in new climate research funding for NOAA, out of a total of $40
million across the federal agencies. An essential element-about $8 million,
half atmospheric and half oceanic-is for NOAA to improve the global observing
system. This Presidential Initiative for better science, with improved
observations as a first step, will provide the information necessary to
formulate sound policy decisions.
I strongly believe that NOAA is the right agency to take a leadership
role within the United States, but we know full well that we cannot do
this alone. The global observation effort for climate is far too enormous
for one organization, or even one country, to undertake alone. We must
work together.
Perhaps the greatest challenge is to develop one integrated observation
plan for the ocean, atmosphere, and land which everyone can support. The
Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and Global Ocean Observing System
(GOOS), working with the Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS) Partners
and others, have developed international consensus on overall needs. There
is, however, much work still to be done.
This challenge lies in our ability to provide one coherent plan which
integrates space and in-situ observations across those three elements.
The IGOS Partners, of which the IOC is a member, is one body trying to
meet this challenge. Focusing on the ocean, we need one plan which all
organizations can support; this plan would set priorities, so that we
can work together to secure the necessary funds and proceed with implementation.
International organizations, such as the IOC and WMO, are the logical
places to help facilitate this process, and their new Joint Technical
Commission on Oceanography and Marine Meteorology represents a giant step
forward in our potential ability to integrate plans for implementation.
A fully implemented global observing system for climate will give us the
tools we need to take "the pulse of the planet." And, the full and open
sharing of data between nations is an essential part of this effort-including
making the data available within sufficient time to be of operational
use.
Last month, the United States released a forecast of the coming El Nino
event. The fact that we can make such forecasts is a tribute to international
cooperation in improving our collective understanding of the ocean and
its contribution to weather and climate. Our ability to make this forecast
is dependent on data from an array of moored buoys spanning the Tropical
Pacific, combined with those collected by satellite. These forecasts can
have significant economic benefits, and we will hear about that from subsequent
speakers in this session.
We are already collaborating with partners within the IOC, actively deploying
the Argo buoy array globally. Argo, together with satellite altimetry,
will extend our operational coverage beyond the tropical Pacific to include
other El Nino-like phenomena, thus laying the basis for further improvements
in forecasting.
Half of the Initiative's $8 million for NOAA to improve the global observing
system, which I mentioned earlier, will be for ocean observations. Most
of this will be invested to raise the U.S. contribution to the Argo float
array from one-third to one-half. This will support the Global Ocean Data
Assimilation Experiment-GODAE, which in turn will support operational
oceanography, seasonal to decadal climate forecasts and analyses, and
real-time marine weather and ocean forecasting.
Although I have focused on climate, I must emphasize that the operational
Global Ocean Observing System will be multi-purpose, serving many needs
beyond climate. It is the first step toward implementation of an oceanographic
analogue to the meteorologist's operational observing system-the World
Weather Watch. Our system will contribute to our understanding of physical/chemical/biological
cycles on a basin-wide scale, and their link to sustainable fisheries
and ecosystem management. It will also contribute to our understanding
and predictive capability for the coastal ocean.
As the world's population is increasingly clustered along our coasts,
we must pay even more attention to the coastal environment. It is clear
that sustainable development and poverty alleviation globally will depend
to a large degree on how we pursue our stewardship of the world's oceans,
coasts, and fisheries, and how we invest in improving our understanding
of them-an understanding which critically depends on good atmospheric,
oceanic, and terrestrial observations.
New ecosystem forecasting tools that can be derived from the coastal components
of an ocean observing system will support management strategies to help
ensure we balance economic growth with environmental protection.
A sustained, integrated ocean observing system is important to maintaining
and improving the management of living marine resources, such as our world's
fisheries. The connection between ocean observing systems and the economy
is probably most obvious and immediate as it relates to fisheries. Understanding
and predicting changes in ocean circulation will allow managers to respond
to associated shifts in populations or stock abundance. The accuracy and
timeliness of predictions of annual fluctuations in spawning stock size,
distribution, recruitment and sustainable yield for exploitable fish stocks
is critical to appropriately managing living marine resources.
In April, I represented the United States at the APEC Oceans Ministerial
Meeting in Seoul. The Ministers discussed a wide range of oceans issues,
and importantly, committed to improve ocean observing systems in the region
and globally.
During this trip to Europe, I am meeting with representatives of numerous
agencies and organizations to discuss opportunities for cooperation and
meeting shared objectives. Tomorrow I will have the pleasure of speaking
at the opening session of the WMO Executive Council.
The WMO and the IOC represent two of the major players in global observing
systems, leading the establishment of atmospheric and oceanic elements
of a comprehensive global system. While it is most critical that we all
agree on one plan for that observing system, there are a number of scientifically
defensible oceanic elements which we could agree on now. As examples of
what I am talking about, and in no order of priority, these could include:
Sustained funding for 3,000 Argo floats; much of present funding
is via research proposals
A
system of long-term, fixed climate observatories to complement Argo ·
1250 surface drifters; we only have ~700 now
35,000 XBTs per year; we only deploy ~24,000 now
Sustained funding for the PIRATA moored array; present funding
is via research proposals
An initial moored array for the Indian Ocean
The full GLOSS core network of 270 sea level stations; we only
have ~180 operating today
A continuing series of TOPEX/Poseidon & Jason-class satellite altimeters
A continuing two-satellite series with a capability to observe
surface wind vectors; we only have one now
Working together, we can establish within this decade critical elements
of the Global Climate Observing System which are of special importance
to the IOC.
I urge the representatives here to work together to pursue partnerships
in establishing observing systems, to assist countries to build the capacity
to participate, and to use this opportunity to move the world closer toward
the goal of implementing a global observing system.
The United States is committed to working through the relevant international
organizations, including the IOC, to achieve this goal.
Thank you very much for your attention.
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